WoN and NAC 2009 Statistics

During the Week of Nightmares and the 2009 North American Continental Championship events, the players were asked to keep track of what turn players were ousted and when the game ended if it was called for time (2 hour rounds).

There is a preliminary spreadsheet available.

Data mining is underway ...

Not all 1st Chance Qualifier events had that noted. There were 9 reports that we had to throw out because they were not complete. We only had a few reports that noted which player # was ousted in which turn.

Out of 142 recorded games..

• 21 games had ousts on turn 5
• 48 on or by turn 6
• 76 on or by turn 7
• 94 on or by turn 8
• 111 on or by turn 9
• 126 on or by turn 10
• 133 on or by turn 11

If there were no ousts by turn 11, the likelihood of the game timing out with no game win increased dramatically (6 of 9).

If a game was going to time out, it was most likely to happen on turns 12-13-14. (4/6/5 each)

Every game that went more than 20 turns finished (2).

• 122 games finished in 15 turns or fewer.
  
• 73 games finished in 12 turns or fewer (i.e. just more than half).

• 4 games finished on turn 7 or earlier
• 10 games finished on turn 8 or earlier
• 14 games finished on turn 9 or earlier
• 26 games finished on turn 10 or earlier
• 48 games finished on turn 11 or earlier
• 73 games finished on turn 12 or earlier
• 95 games finished on turn 13 or earlier
• 107 games finished on turn 14 or earlier

Originally posted by The Lasombra in the VtES Usenet Newsgroup